Tessera delivers institutional-grade detection intelligence for prediction markets. Real-time informed actor identification across decentralized crypto exchanges and regulated sportsbooks.
The Problem
Across prediction markets, a small group of informed actors consistently extract value from everyone else. The gap between those who know and those who don't is enormous — and growing.
Tessera detects these actors in real-time — turning asymmetry into intelligence.
How It Works
The Tessera Observatory continuously ingests market activity, identifies behavioral patterns, and delivers high-confidence signals in real time.
Continuous ingestion of trade data, order flow, and on-chain activity across all monitored markets and venues.
Proprietary behavioral fingerprinting identifies informed actors and assigns confidence scores using multi-signal confluence.
Real-time intelligence delivered via API, dashboard, or webhook. Actionable signals with full forensic context.
The Platform
Independent analytical layers converge to identify informed activity with high confidence — across any market vertical.
Our proprietary dynamic detection engine evaluates a large number of factors to reliably identify informed actors across markets.
Funding graphs, counterparty networks, and profitability tracking fused into a unified confidence score.
Sub-minute detection latency. Informed activity is identified as it happens — not reconstructed after the fact.
Backtested against historical resolutions with statistically significant lift. Our ever-growing dataset compounds into a durable analytical edge.
Product Suite
The Observatory is market-agnostic by design. The same intelligence that identifies informed actors in decentralized markets extends to any venue where edge is observable.
Decentralized Markets
Real-time informed actor detection on Polymarket and decentralized prediction markets. On-chain behavioral intelligence at scale.
Sports Markets
The Observatory applied to sports prediction markets. Full-spectrum coverage across every major sport — the same behavioral fingerprinting, adapted for the distinct patterns of sports-informed activity.
Who We Serve
Tessera serves institutions and organizations that benefit from improved market transparency and informed decision-making.
Alpha signals and risk intelligence integrated into systematic strategies.
Market integrity monitoring and informed participation analytics for platform operators.
Surveillance-grade detection intelligence for market oversight and consumer protection.
Forensic tools to investigate market manipulation, insider trading, and coordinated fraud.
Protect game integrity by identifying informed betting activity tied to your events.
Detect sharp action and adverse selection across betting lines before the market corrects.
The Tessera Observatory is deployed and operating. Validated edge. Real conviction.
Get Started
Request a briefing on the Tessera Observatory and detection suite.